Tăng trưởng kinh tế, tiêu thụ điện, tỉ lệ đô thị hóa và dấu chân sinh thái: Thực nghiệm ở các nước ASEAN

Bùi Hoàng Ngọc; Nguyễn Hữu Khôi; Cảnh Chí Hoàng; Nguyễn Tiến Long; Bùi Thành Khoa

doi:10.24311/jabes/2020.31.8.1148

Các tác giả

Bùi Hoàng Ngọc Trường Đại học Lao động Xã hội (Cơ sở TP. Hồ Chí Minh) Tác giả
Nguyễn Hữu Khôi Trường Đại học Nha Trang Tác giả
Cảnh Chí Hoàng Trường Đại học Tài chính - Marketing Tác giả
Nguyễn Tiến Long Trường Đại học Kinh tế và Quản trị Kinh doanh, Đại học Thái Nguyên Tác giả
Bùi Thành Khoa Trường Đại học Công nghiệp TP. Hồ Chí Minh Tác giả

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.24311/jabes/2020.31.8.1148

Tóm tắt

Mục đích của nghiên cứu này là phân tích tác động của tăng trưởng kinh tế, tiêu thụ điện và tỉ lệ đô thị hóa đến dấu chân sinh thái ở các nước ASEAN trong giai đoạn 1981-2016. Nghiên cứu ứng dụng ba mô hình ước lượng cho dữ liệu bảng gồm: Mean Group (MG), Pooled Mean Group (PMG) và Dynamic Fixed Effects (DFE). Kết quả kiểm định lựa chọn mô hình cho thấy mô hình PMG là phù hợp nhất. Theo đó, tăng trưởng kinh tế và tỉ lệ đô thị hóa có tác động tích cực đến dấu chân sinh thái cả trong ngắn hạn và dài hạn. Tuy nhiên, kết quả thực nghiệm cũng chỉ ra tiêu thụ điện không tác động đến dấu chân sinh thái trong ngắn hạn, nhưng có tác động tiêu cực trong dài hạn. Hàm ý quan trọng được rút ra từ kết quả của nghiên cứu là các nhà hoạch định chính sách cần đánh giá toàn diện các tác động của những chính sách thúc đẩy tăng trưởng kinh tế đối với môi trường tự nhiên, nhằm đạt được mục tiêu phát triển bền vững.

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