Các yếu tố vĩ mô tác động đến kiều hối: Nghiên cứu thực nghiệm tại châu Á - Thái Bình Dương

Authors

  • Cảnh Nguyễn Phúc Trường Đại học Kinh tế TP.HCM Author

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.24311/jabes/2016.27.4.801

Keywords:

Remittances, economic growth, interest rate, exchange rate

Abstract

The roles of personal remittances are increasingly significant in Asia Pacific area, especially in recent decades. This study, for this reason, seeks to examine the impacts of macroeconomic determinants including economic growth in both host and home countries, interest rate spread, and change in exchange rate on remittance flows of 29 Asia Pacific countries over the 2000-2013 period. By using the system GMM estimator for unbalanced panel data, it is found that the remittance flows to Asia Pacific countries have more investing motivations than altruistic motivations. Furthermore, the effects of macroeconomic factors on remittance flows vary sharply due to the 2008 global financial crisis

References

Adams Jr, R. H., & Cuecuecha, A. (2010). Remittances, household expenditure and investment in Guatemala. World Development, 38(11), 1626-1641.

Adams Jr, R. H., & Cuecuecha, A. (2013). The impact of remittances on investment and poverty in Ghana. World Development, 50, 24-40.

Adams Jr, R. H., & Page, J. (2005). Do international migration and remittances reduce poverty in developing countries? World Development, 33(10), 1645-1669.

Ahn, S. C., & Schmidt, P. (1995). Efficient estimation of models for dynamic panel data. Journal of Econometrics, 68(1), 5-27.

Andreoni, J. (1989). Giving with impure altruism: Applications to charity and Ricardian equivalence. The Journal of Political Economy, 97(6), 1447-1458.

Arellano, M., & Bond, S. (1991). Some tests of specification for panel data: Monte Carlo evidence and an application to employment equations. The Review of Economic Studies, 58(2), 277-297.

Aydas, O. T., Metin-Ozcan, K., & Neyapti, B. (2005). Determinants of workers' remittances: The case of Turkey. Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, 41(3), 53-69.

Balli, F., & Rana, F. (2015). Determinants of risk sharing through remittances. Journal of Banking & Finance, 55, 107-116.

Borensztein, E., & Reinhart, C. M. (1994). The macroeconomic determinants of commodity prices. Staff Papers-International Monetary Fund, 41(2), 236-261. Online at http://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/6979/ MPRA paper No. 6979, posted 9. April 2008 04:47 UTC.

Buch, C. M., & Kuckulenz, A. (2004). Worker remittances and capital flows to developing countries. ZEW-Centre for European Economic Research Discussion paper (04-031).

Faini, R. (1994). Workers remittances and the real exchange rate. Journal of Population Economics, 7(2), 235-245.

Funkhouser, E. (1995). Remittances from international migration: A comparison of El Salvador and Nicaragua. The Review of Economics and Statistics, 77(1),137-146.

Goschin, Z. (2014). Remittances as an Economic Development Factor. Empirical Evidence from the CEE Countries. Procedia Economics and Finance, 10, 54-60.

Guha, P. (2013). Macroeconomic effects of international remittances: The case of developing economies. Economic Modelling, 33, 292-305.

Gupta, S., Pattillo, C. A., & Wagh, S. (2009). Effect of remittances on poverty and financial development in Sub-Saharan Africa. World Development, 37(1), 104-115.

Gyimah-Brempong, K., & Asiedu, E. (2015). Remittances and investment in education: Evidence from Ghana. The Journal of International Trade & Economic Development, 24(2), 173-200.

Hansen, L. P. (1982). Large sample properties of generalized method of moments estimators. Econometrica: Journal of the Econometric Society, 1029-1054.

Hansen, L. P., Heaton, J., & Yaron, A. (1996). Finite-sample properties of some alternative GMM estimators. Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, 14(3), 262-280.

Hubert Ebeke, C. (2012). Do remittances lead to a public moral hazard in developing countries? An empirical investigation. Journal of Development Studies, 48(8), 1009-1025.

Imai, K. S., Gaiha, R., Ali, A., & Kaicker, N. (2014). Remittances, growth and poverty: New evidence from Asian countries. Journal of Policy Modeling, 36(3), 524-538.

Jidoud, A. (2015). Remittances and Macroeconomic Volatility in African Countries: International Monetary Fund.

Jouini, J. (2015). Economic growth and remittances in Tunisia: Bi-directional causal links. Journal of Policy Modeling, 37(2), 355-373.

Kiviet, J. F. (1995). On bias, inconsistency, and efficiency of various estimators in dynamic panel data models. Journal of econometrics, 68(1), 53-78.

Lee, S.-H., & Oh, K. K. (2007). Corruption in Asia: Pervasiveness and arbitrariness. Asia Pacific Journal of Management, 24(1), 97-114.

Lucas, R. E., & Stark, O. (1985). Motivations to remit: Evidence from Botswana. The Journal of Political Economy, 93(5), 901-918.

McNabb, R. (1999). The macroeconomic determinants of emigrant remittances. World Development, 27(8), 1493-1502.

Morley, J. W. (2015). Driven by growth: Political change in the Asia-Pacific region: Routledge.

Rapoport, H., & Docquier, F. (2005). The economics of migrants' remittances. Handbook of the economics of giving, altruism and reciprocity, 2, 1135-1198.

Schiopu, I. C., & Siegfried, N. (2006). Determinants of Workers' Remittances: Evidence from the European Neighbouring Region.

Stark, O. (1981). The asset demand for children during agricultural modernization. Population and Development Review, 671-675.

Rempel, H., & Lobdell, R. A. (1978). On the role of urban‐to‐rural remittances in rural development. The Journal of Development Studies, 14(3), 324-341.

Wahba, S. (1991). What determines workers’ remittances. Finance and development, 28(4), 41-44.

Published

2016-04-15

Issue

Section

Articles

How to Cite

Nguyễn Phúc, C. (2016). Các yếu tố vĩ mô tác động đến kiều hối: Nghiên cứu thực nghiệm tại châu Á - Thái Bình Dương. JOURNAL OF ASIAN BUSINESS AND ECONOMIC STUDIES, 27(4), 81-98. https://doi.org/10.24311/jabes/2016.27.4.801